Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.087196e-04 0.000127 0.000147 0.000169 0.000193 0.000219 0.000247
2025-03-09 8.045850e-05 0.000107 0.000137 0.000173 0.000214 0.000259 0.000313
2025-03-16 5.993462e-05 0.000089 0.000123 0.000166 0.000218 0.000277 0.000348
2025-03-23 4.727648e-05 0.000077 0.000115 0.000165 0.000226 0.000298 0.000386
2025-03-30 3.673371e-05 0.000067 0.000107 0.000161 0.000230 0.000312 0.000416
2025-04-06 2.897867e-05 0.000059 0.000100 0.000159 0.000235 0.000327 0.000445
2025-04-13 2.330782e-05 0.000052 0.000096 0.000158 0.000241 0.000344 0.000477
2025-04-20 1.810314e-05 0.000046 0.000090 0.000155 0.000244 0.000356 0.000503
2025-04-27 1.277268e-05 0.000038 0.000081 0.000147 0.000239 0.000358 0.000516
2025-05-04 9.747525e-06 0.000034 0.000076 0.000145 0.000243 0.000370 0.000540
2025-05-11 7.880095e-06 0.000031 0.000075 0.000146 0.000251 0.000388 0.000573
2025-05-18 6.677455e-06 0.000030 0.000075 0.000150 0.000262 0.000410 0.000611
2025-05-25 4.461005e-06 0.000026 0.000071 0.000150 0.000271 0.000432 0.000655
2025-06-01 2.916311e-06 0.000023 0.000069 0.000153 0.000284 0.000462 0.000710
2025-06-08 1.355331e-06 0.000018 0.000062 0.000147 0.000284 0.000474 0.000741
2025-06-15 6.120539e-07 0.000015 0.000058 0.000146 0.000290 0.000493 0.000783
2025-06-22 1.742546e-07 0.000012 0.000053 0.000142 0.000292 0.000508 0.000817
2025-06-29 2.212396e-08 0.000009 0.000049 0.000140 0.000297 0.000524 0.000854
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000008 0.000047 0.000139 0.000303 0.000544 0.000896
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000006 0.000043 0.000137 0.000306 0.000558 0.000930
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000004 0.000038 0.000129 0.000300 0.000560 0.000947
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000003 0.000035 0.000127 0.000304 0.000575 0.000983
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000002 0.000034 0.000129 0.000313 0.000598 0.001030